Climate – Synthesis Report on the effect of the national contributions
Climate – Statement issued by Laurent Fabius, Minister of Foreign Affairs and International Development, COP21 President
The Climate Convention Secretariat today presented its Synthesis Report on the effect of the national contributions submitted before October 1 by 146 states, in advance of the Paris Conference. I urge all countries to submit their contributions before the beginning of the conference.
The report shows that the national contributions can make a difference and help us avoid the worst-case scenario, i.e. global warming of 4°C-5°C or more. It confirms that it is possible to achieve a trajectory where warming is kept below 1.5 to 2°C by the end of the century, but this will require additional efforts over time.
Some estimates put us on a trajectory of a 2.7°C to 3° C increase by the end of the century. This confirms the importance of reaching an agreement at COP21 in Paris that will lay down the rules for periodically revising the national contributions upwards.
Beyond the targets to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, the contributions include elements relating to ambitious sector-specific policies (development of renewable energies, energy efficiency, etc.). This process has made it possible to truly decompartmentalize the issue of climate change in many countries, notably by involving civil society in the preparatory discussions.
The pre-COP meeting, which I will host from November 8 to 10 in Paris, and which will bring together nearly 80 ministers to discuss all of the main elements of the agreement, should allow us to make progress on these issues that are central to our ambitions and long-term goals.
The national contributions process is a first in the history of climate negotiations. It provides a solid basis for the success essential in Paris.